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The imminent prediction of the group of strong earthquakes in Jiashi
Jun-Zhi Li1, Zhen-Qiu Ren2, Xiang-Ning Huang
Abstract: The authors adopted innovative methods in the search for earthquake precursors. Multiple methods were used to analyse the abnormal phenomena, to find the coincidental conditions and to make imminent predictions on the basis of the analysis. In April 1997, strong earthquakes occurred in Jiashi, Xinjiang. We accurately predicted the onset just three days before the event. This imminent prediction was very effective in preparing for this natural calamity. Within 11 days there occurred four continuously disastrous quakes with M>6, yet only nine people died in this area with a population of 300,000. The success should be attributed to the accurate prediction and subsequent precautions taken. |