Thursday, September 10, 1998

(Early Warning Systems for various
environmental and technological hazards)

Keynote and Invited Lectures

09:00 - 12:00, Main Hall

09:00
Keynote Lecture

09:45 - 10:00
Coffee Break

Invited Lectures

10:00
Early Warning Systems for fire management
Johann G. Goldammer; Germany

10:30
Early Warning of migrant pests in Africa
Fritjof Voss; Germany

11:00
Technological Hazards and Early Warning Systems
Peter Krejsa; Austria

11:30
Early Warning Systems for the mitigation of earthquake related technological risks
Fumio Yamazaki; Japan

12:00 - 14:00
Lunch Break

Theme 4

"Early Warning Systems for fire and other environmental hazards"

Convenors: J. G. Goldammer (University of Freiburg/Max Planck-Institute for Chemistry, Germany)
&
F. Voss (Technical University of Berlin, Germany)

Thursday, September 10, 1998

14:00 - 16:00

Oral Presentations

14:00
Global to regional fire weather forecasts.
J. Roads; USA

14:15
Development of fast dissemination of early warning information on wild fires using APAN network.
H. Fujita, L. Aziz, J. H. Prakoso, K. Nishibara; Japan/Indonesia

14:30
Overview of lightning warning systems and their role in risk management of the lightning hazard.
R. Kithil; USA

14:45
Meteorology and Desert Locust: Experience and implementation of a monitory system. B. Ambar; Algeria

15:00
Early warning systems for asteroid impacts.
C. Gritzner; Germany

15:15
Short-term prediction of space weather and its possible negative consequences.
Y. A. Romanovsky, G. F. Tulinov, S. G. Frolov; Russia

Poster Presentations

15:30
The south-east Asian fire monitoring unit: a contribution of the German IDNDR program.
F. Resch; Germany

15:33
The Finnish forest fire index calculation system.
Venäläinen, M. Heikinheimo; Finland

15:36
Satellite-based forest fire detection and automatic alert system - Pilot Experiment.
V. Kelhä, E.-A. Herlan, A. Lohi; Finland

15:39
Space-borne autonomous onboard recognition of high temperature events.
D. Oertel, B. Zhukov, H. Jahn, K. Briess, E. Lorenz; Germany

15:42
Scenarios for the estimation of forest fires in case of climate changes.
F.-W. Gerstengarbe, P. C. Werner; Germany

15:45
Application of logistic models to predict human-caused forest fires.
G. Buchholz; Germany

15:48
Early warning on disease occurrence in Metro Manila using meteorological parameters.
N. A. Relox; Philippines

15:51
Summary Discussion.

16:00 - 16:30 Coffee Break

Theme 5

"Early Warning Systems for rapid damage assessment and the mitigation of technological hazards"

Convenors:
F. Yamazaki (University of Tokyo, Japan)
&
M. Erdik (Bogazici University, Turkey)

Thursday, September 10, 1998

16:30 - 18:30

Oral Presentations

16:30
An earthquake hazard early warning system.
Yuequing Zhu; China

16:45
Optimising the seismic early warning system for the Tôhoku Shinkansen.
D. Veneziano, A. Papadimitriou; USA/Greece

17:00
Seismic alarm and monitoring system for Soviet-designed nuclear power plants.
B. Kuendig, M. Wieland, L. Griesser; Switzerland

17:15
A new concept to the earthquake vulnerability estimation and its application to the early warning system.
Y. Nakamura; Japan

17:30
Real-time city gas network damage estimation system – SIGNAL.
Y. Shimizu, K. Takahashi; Japan

17:45
Structural health monitoring: Early warning system for Bosporus Bridge.
M. Erdik, N. Apaydyn; Turkey

18:00
GPS monitoring of structures in real-time: Recent advances.
M. Celebi, W. Prescott, R. Stein, K. Hudnut; USA

Poster Presentations

18:15
The early earthquake warning system of the Armenian nuclear power plant.
F. Arakelyan, H. Hakopyan; Armenia

18:18
Early warning systems for pollution of air, water and soil with radio-active materials.
S. Kostyanev, Tz. Tzenov; Bulgaria

18:21
Observation and emergency warning system for man-made hazards to the natural environment of Latvia.
I. Lyulko; Latvia

18:24
The Federal Environment Emergency Response: Decision support for off-site emergency management in Russia.
V. Shershakov; Russia

18:27
Summary Discussion

Theme 6

"The Role of Satellite Techniques in Early Warning Systems: State-of-the-Art and Perspectives"

Convenors:
W. Steinborn (DLR German Aerospace Centre, Germany)
&
L. S. Walter (NASA, USA)

Thursday, September 10, 1998

14:00 - 18:30

Oral Presentations

14:00
Toward an integrated space strategy for disaster management.
H. M. Wood, L. S. Walter; USA

14:15
Detection of drought-risky zones with meteorological satellites.
T. Fatou, T. Assise, P. B. SoumareSenegal

14:30
Use of advanced earth observation capabilities for disaster management – the example of the Oder River flood, 1997.
W. Steinborn, T. Ruwwe; Germany

14:45
FLORA – Flood risk assessment and computer simulation for insurance companies.
R. Siemes, F. Jaskolla; Germany

15:00
An automated rocket hail suppression system.
M. Abshaev, V. Stasenko; Russia

15:15
Satellite techniques in early warning systems for large towns and megacities.
Y. A. Kratsov, E. B. Kudashev; Russia

15:30
The European programme on the use of space techniques for risk management.
J.-P Massué European Council, G. Naja; ESA

Poster Presentations

15:45
Remote sensing system resolution and risk assessment of natural hazards.
A. C. Correa, R. L. Peyton, J. E. Loehr; USA

15:47
Use of NOAA/AVHRR data for flood monitoring in the Mekong River delta.
Hoang Minh Hien; Vietnam

15:50
Environmental monitoring space systems usage for prediction and early warning of natural disasters.
Y. A. Romanovsky, S. Y. Avdjushin, L. A. Alexandrov, G. F. Tulinov; Russia

15:52
The capabilities of the German Remote Sensing Data Centre (DFD) in natural disaster monitoring with space-borne remote sensing.
A. Schreier, S. Dech, J. Gredel, W. Noack, K. Reiniger, A. Roth; Germany

15:55
Risk Management.
A. Häntschel, C. Gritzner; Germany

16:00 - 16:30 Coffee Break

Oral Presentations (continued)

16:30
Programs of the European Commission on natural hazards, utilising space observation.
A. Ghazi, J. San Miguel-Ayanz; EU Commission

16:45
Monitoring fires with the European Remote Sensing Satellite, ERS II: the rush fire product demonstration.
Buongiorno, O. Arino; Italy

17:00
Processing of multi-wave remote sensing data for ecological risk monitoring in the Chernobyl area.
V. Lyalko, L. Wolfson, V. Shevchenko, I. Shevchenko; Ukraine

17:15
Mapping of active lineament and orientation of stress in the Himalayan region with IRS data.
R. P. Singh; India

17:30
Remote sensing and GIS for early warning of geological hazard application in Vietnam.
Phan Trong Trinh; Vietnam

17:45
The UNESCO/IUGS Geological Application of Remote Sensing (GARS-) Programme and its contributions to geological hazard mitigation
C. Bannert; Germany

18:00
Remote Sensing of sub-glacial eruptions in Iceland and development of related warning systems.
U. Münzer, T. Bahr; Germany

18:15
The SAF concept - A European networked approach for organising the generation of products based on satellite data.
J. Kerkmann, H. NeumeisterGermany

Theme 7

"Special Problems of Early Warning Systems for Developing Countries and Small Island States"

Convenors:
C. E. Berridge (Caribbean Meteorological Organisation, Trinidad)
&
A. A. Abiodun (United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs, Austria)

Thursday, September 10, 1998

16:30 - 18:30

Oral Presentations

16:30
Introduction to the session.
C. Berridge; Trinidad

16:35
Tropical warnings and factors that influence response.
S. R. Pollonais; Trinidad

16:55
Early warning: Community interpretations and perceptions - a case of recurrent floods and their warnings in Delhi (India).
A. Sharma; India

17:15
Special problems of early warning systems in Caribbean small island states.
C. Berridge; Trinidad

17:30
Effectiveness of early warning systems for the reduction of flood disasters in Third World countries – Case Study, Bangladesh.
Z. M. Shoeb; Bangladesh

17:45
An early warning system for use in developing countries and small island states.
A. Abiodun; UN-OOSA

18:00
Special problems faced by Sri Lanka as a small island with regard to early warning systems for cyclonic storms.
P. Patabendi; Sri Lanka

18:10
Summary discussion

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